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406,019

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Elon Musk # tweets July 28 - August 4, 2026?
polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets July 28 - August 4, 2026?

Volume:
$3,357,073

220-239

 - Polymarket

220-239 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 2:05 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

220-239

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$277,464
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

200-219

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$390,621
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

240-259

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$324,788
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

260-279

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$316,810
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

180-199

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$310,451
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

280-299

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$236,213
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

300-319

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$201,133
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

160-179

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$162,029
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

320-339

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$157,884
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

360-379

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$126,966
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

340-359

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$124,757
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-159

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$103,967
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

400-419

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$82,650
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-139

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$80,266
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

380-399

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$79,721
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100-119

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75,258
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

500+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$69,730
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-79

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,911
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53,878
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

420-439

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,097
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<20

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,680
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

480-499

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,058
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

460-479

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,731
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

440-459

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,021
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-59

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,310
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 26

Intro

This market tracks whether Elon Musk will post between 220-239 tweets on X from July 28 to August 4, 2026, according to posts on his main feed, quote posts, and reposts—excluding replies. On Polymarket, the current probability that he will post 220-239 tweets is 90.0%, while the alternative outcome of 240-259 tweets stands at 6.1%. Resolution will be based on the tweet count verified via https://x.com/elonmusk, with the final tally due by August 4, 2026. Watch for any schedule changes or activity spikes leading up to the August 4, 2026 deadline.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 28 12:00 PM ET to August 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Elon Musk tweet count market tracks real-time odds, price movements, and 24-hour volume of $714,282. It shows how traders on Polymarket are betting on whether Elon Musk will post a specific number of tweets during the week of July 28 to August 4, 2026. The interface updates continuously to reflect the latest market sentiment and trading activity for this prediction.

Unlike traditional polls, which gather public opinions through surveys, prediction market odds reflect what traders are willing to pay now to bet on outcomes. For this market, the current implied probability shows where Polymarket participants expect the tweet count to land. While polls don’t exist for such a specific metric, the market price offers a real-time, data-driven forecast based on trader activity and available information.

This market resolves around Aug 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact tweet count posted by Elon Musk from July 28 to August 4, 2026, will be tallied against the market’s defined ranges. Traders will see the result automatically update on Polymarket once the data is publicly confirmed and meets the platform’s verification standards.

News about Elon Musk’s schedule, social media activity, or public appearances could shift expectations and move this market. Any announcement of planned tweeting sprees, technical issues with his accounts, or major events he might attend could change trader sentiment. Additionally, broader trends like platform algorithm changes or high-profile engagements on X may influence how frequently he tweets, thus affecting market odds as Aug 4, 2026 approaches.