TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Elon Musk # tweets July 25 - July 27, 2026?
polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets July 25 - July 27, 2026?

Volume:
$893,990

40-64

 - Polymarket

40-64 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 27, 2026

Closed: Jul 27, 2:06 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

40-64

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$182,760
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

65-89

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$165,726
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

90-114

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$149,314
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

115-139

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$135,354
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<40

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$124,652
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-164

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$73,718
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

165-189

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,026
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

190-214

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,951
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

240+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,349
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

215-239

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Intro

This market tracks whether Elon Musk will post between 40-64 tweets on X from July 25 to July 27, 2026, with the current probability on Polymarket at 99.5% that he will, and 0.6% for him posting 65-89 tweets. Resolution will be based on activity tracked at https://x.com/elonmusk. Watch for the end of the tweet-counting window on July 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, which will determine the market outcome.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 25 12:00 PM ET to July 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Elon Musk tweet count market shows real-time odds, price fluctuations, and 24-hour volume on Polymarket. It visualizes how traders on Polymarket are betting on the number of tweets Elon Musk will post during the specified period, offering a live snapshot of market sentiment and liquidity.

This market resolves around Jul 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The exact tweet count posted by Elon Musk during the specified three-day window will determine which side of the market is settled as correct.