TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 30, 11:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of June 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of June 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Several factors could shift market odds before Jul 1, 2026. Major business announcements from Tesla, SpaceX, or X itself may prompt Musk to tweet more frequently or less frequently depending on urgency and public-relations strategy. Regulatory actions, legal disputes, or controversies could spike his posting activity as he responds to criticism or defends his companies. Personal events or health changes might reduce his availability. Seasonal patterns—such as summer vacations or product launches—could influence his tweeting rhythm. Changes to X's algorithm, feature rollouts, or platform policies might alter user engagement and his incentive to post. Additionally, any public statements Musk makes about his social-media habits or time allocation could signal intent to adjust his posting volume, prompting traders to reassess probabilities and adjust prices accordingly.