TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Politics
Elon Musk # tweets in June 2026?
polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets in June 2026?

Volume:
$333,107

960-999

 - Polymarket

960-999 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

960-999

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.2¢
N/A
$31,993
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

920-959

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,580
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1000-1039

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,831
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

880-919

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,290
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

800-839

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,320
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<400

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,718
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

840-879

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,914
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

760-799

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,102
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1040-1079

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,402
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1080-1119

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,074
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1160-1199

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,879
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

600-639

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,907
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1120-1159

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,350
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1200-1239

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,990
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

580-599

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,768
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

720-759

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,979
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1320-1359

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,912
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1400+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,687
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

460-479

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,470
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

520-539

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,320
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

540-559

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,306
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

560-579

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,243
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

680-719

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,811
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

500-519

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,519
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

640-679

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,283
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 32

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of June 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of June 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

The market resolves on Jul 1, 2026, after June 2026 concludes and the final tweet count can be verified. Resolution depends on an accurate count of all tweets Elon Musk posts during the calendar month of June 2026. This includes original tweets, retweets, and replies posted to his main account. The outcome is determined by comparing the final count to the predefined brackets—such as 1040–1079 tweets—and awarding all shares in the correct bracket their full $1 value while other brackets expire worthless. Verification typically relies on publicly available data from Twitter/X's API or third-party tweet-counting services to ensure accuracy and prevent disputes.

Several factors could shift market odds before Jul 1, 2026. Major business announcements from Tesla, SpaceX, or X itself may prompt Musk to tweet more frequently or less frequently depending on urgency and public-relations strategy. Regulatory actions, legal disputes, or controversies could spike his posting activity as he responds to criticism or defends his companies. Personal events or health changes might reduce his availability. Seasonal patterns—such as summer vacations or product launches—could influence his tweeting rhythm. Changes to X's algorithm, feature rollouts, or platform policies might alter user engagement and his incentive to post. Additionally, any public statements Musk makes about his social-media habits or time allocation could signal intent to adjust his posting volume, prompting traders to reassess probabilities and adjust prices accordingly.