TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026?
polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026?

Volume:
$3,484,769

180-199

 - Polymarket

180-199 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 14, 2026

Closed: Aug 14, 2:41 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

180-199

View
100%
92%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$432,489
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

200-219

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$545,501
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-139

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$403,992
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-159

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$349,013
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

220-239

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$300,289
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100-119

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$283,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

160-179

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$233,599
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

240-259

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$225,024
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

260-279

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$117,661
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$105,676
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

280-299

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$82,283
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

300-319

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$78,462
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

340-359

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,158
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

320-339

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,309
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

380-399

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,175
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

360-379

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,043
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

500+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,807
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-79

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,347
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

400-419

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,258
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

420-439

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,423
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

440-459

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,673
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

460-479

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,346
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

480-499

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,196
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-59

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,237
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<20

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,564
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 26

Intro

This market tracks whether Elon Musk will post 180-199 tweets on X from August 7 to August 14, 2026, with the current probability at 91.5% for that outcome and 8.5% for him posting 200-219 tweets in the same period on Polymarket. The resolution will be based on activity tracked at https://x.com/elonmusk. Watch for the end of the posting window on August 14, 2026, which will determine the final count and market resolution.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks the live odds and price history for the Elon Musk tweet count market, showing how traders price the likelihood of different tweet volumes between August 7 and August 14, 2026. It also displays 24-hour volume of $1,026,963 and total volume of $3,484,616, letting you see real-time sentiment and liquidity for this prediction.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders place bets that directly set the market price through supply and demand. The probability displayed represents the collective view of all participants, with liquidity determined by how much volume of $1,026,963 trades daily. As new information emerges — such as news about Elon Musk’s schedule — the price can move quickly to reflect updated expectations.

This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final count of tweets posted by Elon Musk during the specified period will settle the market, closing all positions based on the actual numbers reported through authoritative channels.

Several signals could shift this market before it closes. Major announcements, scheduled appearances, or unexpected events involving Elon Musk may increase the perceived likelihood of higher tweet activity. Conversely, quiet periods or confirmed absences from social media could drive prices toward lower tweet-count outcomes. Any breaking news that changes expectations about his availability or incentives to tweet will likely cause rapid price adjustments on Polymarket.