TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Politics
Elon Musk # tweets August 6 - August 8, 2026?
polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets August 6 - August 8, 2026?

Volume:
$782,216

40-64

 - Polymarket

40-64 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 8, 2026

Closed: Aug 8, 3:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

40-64

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$172,432
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

65-89

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$267,868
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<40

0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$169,513
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

90-114

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$79,952
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

115-139

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$49,415
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-164

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,045
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

165-189

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,821
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

190-214

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,819
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

240+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,255
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

215-239

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,096
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Intro

This market tracks whether Elon Musk will post between 40 and 64 tweets on X from August 6 to August 8, 2026, with the leading outcome currently at 100% on Polymarket, and the second outcome at 0.1%. The resolution source is Elon Musk's X account. Watch for the end of the tweet-counting window on August 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, which will determine the market outcome.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks the latest odds and price history for the Elon Musk tweet count market, along with real-time 24-hour volume of $570,943. It shows how traders on Polymarket are betting on whether Elon Musk will post a specific number of tweets during the August 6–8, 2026 window, reflecting shifting sentiment and information as the event approaches.

This market resolves around Aug 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final count of tweets posted by Elon Musk from August 6 to August 8, 2026 will determine which market contract — representing a specific range of tweets — pays out to holders.

News about Elon Musk's schedule, social media activity, or platform changes could shift this market. Announcements of scheduled posts, major events he's attending, or unexpected technical issues any time before Aug 8, 2026 may cause rapid price swings, especially as the August 6–8 window nears and traders adjust bets based on the latest indications of his likely tweet volume.