TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Elon Musk will post between 40 and 64 tweets on X from August 6 to August 8, 2026, with the leading outcome currently at 100% on Polymarket, and the second outcome at 0.1%. The resolution source is Elon Musk's X account. Watch for the end of the tweet-counting window on August 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, which will determine the market outcome.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market resolves around Aug 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final count of tweets posted by Elon Musk from August 6 to August 8, 2026 will determine which market contract — representing a specific range of tweets — pays out to holders.
News about Elon Musk's schedule, social media activity, or platform changes could shift this market. Announcements of scheduled posts, major events he's attending, or unexpected technical issues any time before Aug 8, 2026 may cause rapid price swings, especially as the August 6–8 window nears and traders adjust bets based on the latest indications of his likely tweet volume.