TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?
polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?

Volume:
$2,605,637

160-179

 - Polymarket

160-179 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 11, 2026

Closed: Aug 11, 2:43 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

160-179

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$360,231
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

140-159

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$327,982
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

200-219

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$322,143
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

180-199

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$288,699
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

220-239

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$184,067
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

240-259

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$170,680
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-139

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$133,846
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

260-279

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$120,395
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

280-299

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$115,687
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

300-319

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94,852
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100-119

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84,296
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

320-339

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58,938
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48,128
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

500+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,766
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

360-379

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,547
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

340-359

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,610
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-79

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

380-399

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,827
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

400-419

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,589
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

440-459

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,453
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20-39

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,645
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-59

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,645
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<20

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,675
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

480-499

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,862
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

460-479

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,847
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 26

Intro

This market tracks whether Elon Musk will post between 160 and 179 tweets on X from August 4 to August 11, 2026. On Polymarket, the current probability that he will post in this range stands at 88.5%, with resolution based on activity tracked at https://x.com/elonmusk. The outcome will be determined by the close of the tweet-counting window on August 11, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Elon Musk tweet count market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price fluctuations, and 24-hour volume of $714,854. This visualization helps users monitor how traders value the likelihood of different tweet counts within the defined period, offering insight into market sentiment for the Elon Musk tweet count market.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders place bets that directly set the market price through supply and demand dynamics. The current top outcome reflects the collective judgment of participants about the range of tweets Elon Musk is expected to post during the specified timeframe, with liquidity and volume influencing price stability.

This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final count of tweets posted by Elon Musk during the exact period determines which market outcome matches reality, closing all positions based on observed data.