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$1,442,132,418

404,744

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30,489

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2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026?
polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026?

Volume:
$3,002,585

220-239

 - Polymarket

220-239 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 2:02 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

220-239

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$295,301
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

240-259

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$353,336
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

200-219

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$316,037
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

180-199

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$292,666
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

160-179

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$287,835
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

260-279

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$214,354
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-159

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$204,620
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

280-299

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$171,545
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

300-319

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$152,609
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

320-339

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$123,321
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-139

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$92,074
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

340-359

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74,586
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

500+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67,398
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64,073
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100-119

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56,289
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-79

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53,930
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

360-379

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,415
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

380-399

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,194
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

400-419

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,412
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-59

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,684
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

420-439

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,228
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

440-459

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,776
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

460-479

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,528
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

480-499

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,607
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20-39

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,940
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 26

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Elon Musk tweet count market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price movements, and 24-hour volume of $654,824 for the tweet-count prediction. This visualization shows how traders on Polymarket are betting on whether Elon Musk will send a specific number of tweets during the week of August 28 to September 4, 2026. The dashboard updates continuously to reflect shifts in market sentiment and trading activity around this political event.

While public polls may gauge general expectations about Elon Musk’s activity, this market offers a quantifiable, real-time alternative through trader sentiment. On Polymarket, the current implied probability reflects aggregated bets rather than traditional survey data. Traders may price in factors polls miss, such as breaking news or platform algorithm changes, leading to divergence from polling averages. Comparing the two can reveal whether the market leans more toward cautious expectations or bolder predictions.

This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final count of tweets Elon Musk posts between August 28 and September 4, 2026, will settle the market. No subjective judgment is involved — the number is drawn from publicly accessible records, ensuring an objective resolution.

Several signals could shift this market before it closes. Announcements from Elon Musk about upcoming livestreams, scheduled posts, or changes to his posting habits may influence trader sentiment. Platform algorithm updates affecting tweet visibility, major political developments involving Musk, or even technical glitches that temporarily halt posting can all cause rapid price swings. Any public indication of his planned activity during that week is likely to drive volume and odds shifts on Polymarket.