TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Politics
Elon Musk # tweets August 27 - August 29, 2026?
polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets August 27 - August 29, 2026?

Volume:
$560,600

40-64

 - Polymarket

40-64 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 29, 2026

Closed: Aug 29, 2:07 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

40-64

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$146,405
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

65-89

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$165,348
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<40

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$86,458
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

90-114

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$66,338
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

115-139

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,956
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-164

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,446
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

190-214

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,211
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

165-189

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,175
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

240+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,384
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

215-239

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,879
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 27 12:00 PM ET to August 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 27 12:00 PM ET to August 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Elon Musk tweet count market tracks real-time odds, price fluctuations, and 24-hour volume of $353,690. It provides a visual representation of how traders on Polymarket are positioning themselves ahead of the August 2026 measurement window, showing both recent activity and longer-term trends in betting behavior.

Unlike traditional polling averages that rely on voter self-reporting, this market reflects continuous, dollar-backed bets that adjust instantly to new information. Prediction market odds often reveal sharper expectations than polls because participants are financially motivated to price in every signal — from news cycles to platform algorithm tweaks — that could influence the final count.

This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final count will be based on publicly accessible tweet data from Elon Musk’s official accounts during the specified three-day window, removing ambiguity through transparent, data-driven verification.

Key signals that could shift this market include verified announcements about Musk’s social media schedule, platform policy changes affecting tweet visibility, major news events prompting unusually high or low activity, and any technical disruptions to his accounts. Each new development will be rapidly priced in by traders, especially as the Aug 29, 2026 window approaches.