TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Elon Musk # tweets August 24 - August 26, 2026?
polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets August 24 - August 26, 2026?

Volume:
$542,845

40-64

 - Polymarket

40-64 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 26, 2026

Closed: Aug 26, 2:02 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

40-64

View
100%
81%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$167,510
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

90-114

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$93,515
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

65-89

View
0%
60%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$87,195
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<40

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61,562
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

115-139

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54,515
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-164

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,742
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

190-214

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,238
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

165-189

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,081
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

240+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,611
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

215-239

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,876
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 24 12:00 PM ET to August 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 24 12:00 PM ET to August 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the Elon Musk tweet count market, alongside 24-hour volume of $303,806. It shows how traders on Polymarket are pricing the likelihood of different tweet counts from Elon Musk during the specified three-day window. The interface updates continuously to reflect market sentiment and trading activity as the event approaches.

Unlike traditional polling averages, which gather public opinions through surveys, this market uses real-money bets to set its odds. Traders weigh factors like Musk’s recent activity patterns, announced schedules, and potential news cycles. As a result, this market often reflects a more nuanced, data-driven outlook compared to broad polling trends, especially for high-profile, time-bound events like tweet frequency.

This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final count of tweets posted by Elon Musk between the specified dates will settle the market, closing all positions based on the officially recorded data.

Key signals include any scheduled appearances, product announcements, or controversies involving Elon Musk that could drive him to tweet more frequently. Additionally, major global news events or platform algorithm changes affecting tweet visibility might influence his posting behavior. Sudden spikes or drops in trading volume often precede these developments, offering early hints about shifting market expectations.