TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Elon Musk # tweets August 20 - August 22, 2026?
polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets August 20 - August 22, 2026?

Volume:
$1,030,071

90-114

 - Polymarket

90-114 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Closed: Aug 22, 2:01 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

90-114

View
100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$139,873
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

115-139

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$258,901
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

65-89

View
0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$186,085
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-164

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$150,215
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-64

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$95,869
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<40

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$86,250
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

165-189

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64,248
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

240+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,803
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

190-214

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,704
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

215-239

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,122
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Intro

This market tracks whether Elon Musk will post between 90-114 tweets on X from August 20 to August 22, 2026, with the current probability on Polymarket at 100.0%, while the second outcome, posting 115-139 tweets, stands at 0.1%. The resolution will be based on activity observed directly on https://x.com/elonmusk. Watch for the end of the tweet-counting window on August 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, which will determine the market outcome.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Elon Musk tweet count market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price movements, and 24-hour volume for this prediction market. It shows how traders on Polymarket are pricing the likelihood of different tweet counts from Elon Musk during the specified three-day window. The dashboard updates continuously to reflect the latest market sentiment and trading activity, giving users a clear view of where the market stands at any moment.

This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final count of tweets posted by Elon Musk within the exact three-day window determines the result, and the market settles automatically based on that verified number.

News about Elon Musk’s schedule, major product announcements, political statements, or any highly engaging content he might share can shift expectations and move this market. Additionally, broader social media trends, platform algorithm changes, or unexpected events that capture his attention may also influence trader sentiment and market prices before Aug 22, 2026.