TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Politics
Elon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?
polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?

Volume:
$4,450,065

320-339

 - Polymarket

320-339 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 25, 2026

Closed: Aug 25, 2:04 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

320-339

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$309,989
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

240-259

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$362,235
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

340-359

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$354,624
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

280-299

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$310,539
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

300-319

0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$298,984
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

380-399

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$286,531
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

260-279

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$280,194
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

400-419

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$270,733
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

360-379

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$268,578
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

420-439

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$229,570
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

500+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$223,871
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

220-239

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$164,403
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

200-219

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$156,665
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

440-459

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$154,508
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

460-479

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$136,325
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

480-499

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$125,544
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-159

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$76,956
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

180-199

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75,541
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

160-179

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67,491
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-139

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58,976
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-79

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,711
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100-119

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,445
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,013
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-59

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,557
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20-39

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,671
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 26

Intro

This market tracks whether Elon Musk will post between 320 and 339 tweets on X from August 18 to August 25, 2026. On Polymarket, the current probability that he will post 320-339 tweets is 97.5%, while the probability for 340-359 tweets is 2.4%. The resolution will be based on activity tracked at https://x.com/elonmusk, with the final count due by August 25, 2026. Watch for the end of the betting period on August 25, 2026, to see if the tweet count falls within this range.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Elon Musk tweet count market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $693,452. This tool visualizes how traders on Polymarket are pricing the likelihood of different tweet ranges for Elon Musk between August 18 and August 25, 2026, offering a dynamic view of market sentiment and activity.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set prices through a continuous order book where bids and asks determine the current odds. The top outcome, Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?, reflects the collective judgment of participants about tweet volume probabilities, adjusted for liquidity and trader activity.

This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact tweet count posted by Elon Musk during the specified period will determine which range — from zero to more than 80 tweets — is correct, closing the market and paying out winners accordingly.