TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?
polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?

Volume:
$5,584,552

240-259

 - Polymarket

240-259 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 2:07 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

240-259

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$558,196
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

280-299

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$482,299
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

260-279

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$462,405
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

200-219

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$440,366
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

300-319

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$426,770
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

220-239

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$409,184
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

180-199

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$363,781
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

320-339

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$350,641
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

160-179

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$283,001
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100-119

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$234,454
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

340-359

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$231,376
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-139

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$216,425
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-99

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$210,546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-159

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$205,470
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

360-379

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$174,317
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

380-399

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$117,030
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-79

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$112,262
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

400-419

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$112,055
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

500+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,173
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

440-459

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,643
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

420-439

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,195
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

460-479

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,658
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-59

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,883
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

480-499

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,658
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<20

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,883
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 26

Intro

This market tracks whether Elon Musk will post between 260 and 279 tweets on X from August 14 to August 21, 2026. On Polymarket, the current probability that he will post in this range is 10.0%. The resolution source is X, specifically monitoring @elonmusk's feed. Watch for the end of the betting period on August 21, 2026, when the tweet count will be verified and the market will resolve.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count of tweets posted by Elon Musk during the specified period will set the result, closing all positions accordingly.