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406,065

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2,692

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5

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Elon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026?
polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026?

Volume:
$672,559

40-64

 - Polymarket

40-64 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 15, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 2:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

40-64

View
100%
84%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$182,042
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

90-114

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$157,204
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

65-89

View
0%
69%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$131,438
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

115-139

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67,368
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<40

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67,314
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-164

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,963
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

165-189

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,072
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

190-214

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,952
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

215-239

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,949
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

240+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,257
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Intro

This market tracks whether Elon Musk will post between 40 and 64 tweets on X from August 13 to August 15, 2026. On Polymarket, the current probability that he will post 40-64 tweets during this period stands at 85.5%, with resolution based on activity tracked at https://x.com/elonmusk. Watch for the end of the betting period on August 15, 2026, to see if the final tweet count falls within the specified range.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 13 12:00 PM ET to August 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Elon Musk tweet count market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $317,100. This view shows how traders on Polymarket are pricing the likelihood of different tweet counts during the specified period, offering a live snapshot of market sentiment and activity for the Elon Musk tweet count market.

Unlike traditional polls that sample public opinion, this market uses real-money bets to set its odds. While polls may ask individuals about their expectations, this market reflects aggregated trader sentiment weighted by investment. The resulting probability can diverge from polling averages due to differing participant motivations, access to diverse information, and the direct financial stakes involved.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders place bets that directly set the market price through supply and demand dynamics. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, with market movements driven by new information, trader sentiment, and volume shifts. This continuous pricing mechanism updates instantly to reflect collective trader expectations.

This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count of tweets posted by Elon Musk within the specified three-day window will determine which side of the market is correct, closing all positions based on the officially recorded data.

News about Elon Musk’s scheduled appearances, social media activity spikes, or announcements of planned posts can shift this market. Major events such as product launches, controversies, or unexpected schedule changes may increase trading volume and change odds. Additionally, broader trends affecting social media usage or platform algorithm updates could also influence trader sentiment leading up to Aug 15, 2026.