TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Economics
Elon Musk net worth on May 31 (Bloomberg)
kalshi

Elon Musk net worth on May 31 (Bloomberg)

Volume:
$16,092

Above $675 billion

 - Kalshi

Above $675 billion - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 1, 2026

Closed: May 31, 6:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $675 billion

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,988
N/A
N/A
$4,562
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $625 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,398
N/A
N/A
$2,162
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $670 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,946
N/A
N/A
$1,388
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $630 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$460
N/A
N/A
$257
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $635 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$365
N/A
N/A
$64
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $640 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$242
N/A
N/A
$208
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $665 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$224
N/A
N/A
$173
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $655 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$220
N/A
N/A
$209
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $660 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$151
N/A
N/A
$125
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $650 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
$63
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $645 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
$35
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether Elon Musk's net worth will exceed $630 billion based on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—that his net worth will be above this threshold—stands at 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update scheduled for May 31, 2026, with the market settling by June 8, 2026. Watch for significant movements in Tesla's stock price and any major changes in Musk's asset holdings leading up to the May 31 measurement date.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for this event, which measures whether Elon Musk's net worth will exceed a specific threshold by May 31 using Bloomberg data as the official source. You can monitor the current implied probability of the top outcome, historical price movements, and recent trading volume. The 24-hour volume of $4,312 reflects active trader interest, while total group volume of $16,092 shows cumulative market depth. This single-venue dashboard provides live odds updates, allowing you to see how market sentiment shifts as new information about Musk's wealth and Tesla's valuation emerges.

The market resolves on Jun 8, 2026, after May 31 when Bloomberg publishes its official net worth assessment for Elon Musk. The outcome is determined by comparing Bloomberg's reported figure to the threshold specified in the contract. This reliance on a single, authoritative third-party source ensures objective settlement without ambiguity. Traders should monitor Bloomberg's methodology and any announcements about asset valuations in the weeks leading up to resolution. The binary structure means the contract settles to either 0 or 100 cents based on whether the threshold is met, with no partial payouts.

Tesla stock price movements are the primary driver, since the majority of Musk's wealth is tied to his Tesla holdings. Major catalysts include quarterly earnings reports, production updates, regulatory actions, and macroeconomic shifts affecting EV valuations. SpaceX funding rounds or valuation changes also influence total net worth. Musk's personal transactions, such as stock sales, pledges, or acquisitions, directly impact Bloomberg's calculations. Broader market sentiment toward tech and growth stocks affects Tesla's multiple. Geopolitical events, interest rate changes, and competition in electric vehicles create volatility. Any public statements from Musk about his wealth or asset allocation can shift trader expectations and market pricing before the May 31 snapshot date.