TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Elon Musk net worth on June 30 (Bloomberg)
kalshi

Elon Musk net worth on June 30 (Bloomberg)

Volume:
$881,543

Above $1 trillion

 - Kalshi

Above $1 trillion - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 6:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $1 trillion

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$117,139
N/A
N/A
$52,110
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $790 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$86,316
N/A
N/A
$29,675
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $780 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$56,083
N/A
N/A
$25,552
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $950 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$43,021
N/A
N/A
$21,118
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $800 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$27,469
N/A
N/A
$13,522
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $900 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$24,913
N/A
N/A
$16,478
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $850 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,854
N/A
N/A
$11,663
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $770 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,818
N/A
N/A
$7,637
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $760 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,554
N/A
N/A
$5,663
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $750 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,717
N/A
N/A
$3,411
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $690 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,527
N/A
N/A
$3,452
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $720 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,304
N/A
N/A
$3,280
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $730 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,692
N/A
N/A
$1,235
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $710 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,611
N/A
N/A
$4,027
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $700 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,883
N/A
N/A
$1,099
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $740 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,774
N/A
N/A
$741
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $1.05 trillion

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$142,274
N/A
N/A
$68,503
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $1.10 trillion

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$79,595
N/A
N/A
$49,851
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $1.30 trillion

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$72,651
N/A
N/A
$46,776
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $1.20 trillion

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$60,123
N/A
N/A
$27,639
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $1.40 trillion

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32,888
N/A
N/A
$17,510
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $1.50 trillion

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,304
N/A
N/A
$13,382
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $1.70 trillion

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,834
N/A
N/A
$10,250
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $1.60 trillion

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,198
N/A
N/A
$8,995
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Description

This event tracks whether Elon Musk's net worth will exceed a certain threshold according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index as of June 30, 2026. The market is designed to measure the growth of one of the world's wealthiest individuals' fortune over a specific time period.

Kalshi

If Elon Musk's net worth is above $690 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elon Musk's net worth is above $700 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elon Musk's net worth is above $710 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elon Musk's net worth is above $720 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elon Musk's net worth is above $730 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elon Musk's net worth is above $740 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elon Musk's net worth is above $750 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elon Musk's net worth is above $760 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elon Musk's net worth is above $770 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elon Musk's net worth is above $780 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elon Musk's net worth is above $790 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elon Musk's net worth is above $800 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elon Musk's net worth is above $850 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elon Musk's net worth is above $900 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elon Musk's net worth is above $950 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elon Musk's net worth is above $1.00 trillion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elon Musk's net worth is above $1.05 trillion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elon Musk's net worth is above $1.10 trillion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elon Musk's net worth is above $1.20 trillion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elon Musk's net worth is above $1.30 trillion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elon Musk's net worth is above $1.40 trillion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader expectations, which often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. While equity analysts typically model Tesla and SpaceX valuations using conventional financial models, prediction market participants price in broader factors including regulatory changes, market sentiment, and tail risks. Comparing the market's implied probability to published analyst price targets for Tesla stock can reveal whether traders expect Musk's net worth to outperform or underperform consensus estimates. This comparison highlights how markets and analysts weight different scenarios differently.

The market resolves on Jul 8, 2026, shortly after June 30, 2026. Resolution is determined by Bloomberg's official net worth figure published for Elon Musk on that date. Bloomberg calculates net worth based on publicly traded holdings, private company stakes, and other disclosed assets. The outcome is objective and verifiable, eliminating ambiguity about which traders win or lose. Once Bloomberg publishes its figure, the market settles according to which outcome bracket or range the actual net worth falls into.

Tesla stock price movements are the primary driver, since Musk's wealth is heavily concentrated in Tesla equity. Major catalysts include quarterly earnings, production milestones, regulatory decisions, and macroeconomic shifts affecting EV demand. SpaceX valuation changes from funding rounds or major contracts would also impact net worth. Broader market volatility, interest rate changes, and sentiment shifts around Musk's public statements can influence Tesla's multiple and thus his net worth. Unexpected legal or regulatory developments, acquisitions, or changes to his stake structure could create sharp repricing in the market.