TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 20, 6:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks Elon Musk's wealth as assessed by a reputable financial index on a specific future date. It examines whether his net worth surpasses various extremely high thresholds, reflecting potential monumental growth in his personal wealth by that time.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for Elon Musk’s net worth as reported by the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on August 20, 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct monetary threshold ranging from above 775 billion to above 950 billion. The markets resolve to 'Yes' if Musk’s reported net worth meets or exceeds the respective threshold for that market. All thresholds are assessed using the same authoritative data source and date, ensuring consistency across the event. The outcome for each market is determined solely by whether the specific threshold is met, with no interaction or dependency between the individual markets.
This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final net-worth figure will be drawn from authoritative financial disclosures, regulatory filings, or widely accepted wealth-tracking publications that are publicly accessible at that time.
Several signals could shift this market before it closes. Major corporate announcements from Tesla or SpaceX, personal investment activity by Elon Musk, stock-price swings, or high-profile asset sales and acquisitions all feed into trader sentiment. Macroeconomic shifts affecting tech billionaires' valuations — like interest-rate changes or market corrections — may also cause rapid re-pricing on Kalshi as new data emerges.