TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 10:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Dutch Bros coffee shops in August 2026 by measuring changes in customer traffic compared to the same month in the previous year. The outcome depends on whether the reported foot traffic index exceeds specific thresholds, with higher thresholds representing stronger growth in customer visits.
All markets in this event are determined by the Carbon Arc Dutch Bros Monthly Foot Traffic index for August 2026, which measures year-over-year changes in U.S. store visits. The index value of 100 represents equal traffic to the same month last year, with values above 100 indicating growth and below 100 indicating decline. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., above 100, above 102, up to above 118) that must be exceeded for the market to resolve to 'Yes'. The determining value is based on the first report issued by Carbon Arc, and any subsequent corrections or revisions after settlement will not affect the outcome. The index is calculated using mobile location data from over 200 million devices, matched to the same calendar days as the prior year and normalized for seasonality, weather, and holidays. The panel updates daily as new data becomes available.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final determination will compare actual foot traffic numbers for Dutch Bros in August against the market’s defined categories, using publicly available data from the company or reputable industry trackers.
Several signals could shift this market before Sep 14, 2026. News about Dutch Bros expanding locations, promotional campaigns, or changes in consumer behavior due to weather or economic factors may influence trader sentiment. Additionally, broader industry reports on coffee shop traffic or same-store sales data could affect expectations, as could any unexpected events like supply chain disruptions or public health announcements that impact foot traffic nationwide.