TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 10:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Dr. Pepper's point-of-sale growth for August 2026, focusing on whether sales metrics meet or exceed specific thresholds compared to the previous year. The outcome depends on year-over-year changes measured by an independent data provider, reflecting consumer purchasing trends for the brand during that month.
All markets in this event resolve based on the Carbon Arc Dr. Pepper Point of Sale Growth index for August 2026, comparing year-over-year sales performance. Each market has a distinct threshold, ranging from above -15% to above 1%, with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the reported index exceeds the respective threshold. The determining value is the first report published by Carbon Arc, and any subsequent corrections or revisions after settlement do not alter the outcome. The index calculates the percentage change in sales by analyzing in-store and online purchases through receipt-scanning and rewards apps, matched to the same period in the prior year. The panel updates daily, providing a real-time reflection of consumer spending patterns. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the underlying company, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, odds for this market reflect trader sentiment about Dr. Pepper's August sales growth, often diverging from traditional analyst forecasts. Where analysts may project conservative or bullish estimates based on historical performance and market trends, prediction market prices incorporate real-time betting activity and can react faster to emerging news or data snippets.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the sales growth figure is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on officially released data, closing all contracts according to the performance of Dr. Pepper’s August point-of-sale metrics.
Several signals could shift this market before Sep 14, 2026. Key catalysts include early sales reports, retail performance data, consumer confidence indicators, and any public announcements from Dr. Pepper regarding promotions or supply chain updates. Unexpected macroeconomic shifts or competitive activity might also influence trader sentiment and adjust odds on Kalshi as resolution approaches.