TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 2, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price for Dow Jones (DJIA) on Tuesday, June 2, 2026 is higher than the official Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price for DJIA on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price for Dow Jones (DJIA) on Tuesday, June 2, 2026 is lower than the official Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price for DJIA on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If DJIA does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by Dow Jones Industrial Average for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
The market resolves at Jun 2, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official closing price of the Dow Jones Industrial Average on June 2. The outcome hinges on whether the DJIA closes higher or lower than its opening level on that trading day. Market participants monitor intraday price action, economic releases, corporate news, and global events that could influence equity sentiment and index direction. Once the official close is recorded, the winning outcome is determined and payouts are distributed to holders of the correct shares.
Key catalysts for DJIA movement on June 2 include U.S. economic data releases such as employment figures, inflation reports, and manufacturing surveys. Federal Reserve communications, interest rate expectations, and geopolitical developments can shift risk sentiment rapidly. Corporate earnings announcements, merger activity, and sector-specific news affecting large-cap constituents also drive index direction. Overnight international market performance, commodity price swings, and credit market stress indicators may influence opening and intraday trading. Traders on Polymarket price in these signals continuously, so odds may shift sharply if major economic data or policy announcements occur before the June 2 close.