TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 8 - September 15, 2026?
polymarket

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 8 - September 15, 2026?

Volume:
$24,052

100-119

 - Polymarket

100-119 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 15, 2:03 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

100-119

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,309
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

120-139

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,404
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

160-179

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,412
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

200+

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,246
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-99

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,070
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

180-199

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,414
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<20

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,315
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-159

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,144
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-79

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$872
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20-39

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$552
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-59

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$314
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Trump Truth Social market displays the current odds of various outcomes regarding the number of posts Donald Trump will make on his Truth Social account between September 8 and September 15, 2026. You can view the probability of each outcome, along with the total volume traded – currently $16,302 – and the 24-hour volume, which stands at $3,876. The dashboard also provides a price history chart, allowing you to see how the market has fluctuated over time and assess trader sentiment.

Currently, this market suggests a strong likelihood that Donald Trump will post between 0-19 Truth Social posts during the specified period. This contrasts with traditional polling, which often focuses on stated voter preferences or broader public opinion. While polls can gauge sentiment, this market reflects what traders are *willing to bet* will happen, offering a different signal. It's important to remember that prediction markets aggregate information from a diverse set of participants, potentially incorporating insights not captured in standard surveys. Comparing this market to polling averages provides a unique perspective on potential outcomes.

This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total number of unique posts made by Donald Trump on his official Truth Social account between September 8, 2026, and September 15, 2026, inclusive. The exact number of posts will be determined by a count of publicly available data from Truth Social, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for this market.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major political events, such as the announcement of a presidential run or significant legal developments involving Donald Trump, would likely cause substantial shifts in trading activity. Changes in the political landscape, including shifts in public opinion or the emergence of new controversies, could also impact the market. Furthermore, any statements made by Donald Trump himself regarding his social media usage could move the odds. This market will resolve around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the number of posts is verifiable from credible public reporting.