TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Politics
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 4 - September 11, 2026?
polymarket

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 4 - September 11, 2026?

Volume:
$54,506

160-179

 - Polymarket

160-179 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 2:04 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

160-179

View
100%
96%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,422
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

200+

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,688
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

180-199

0%
64%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,132
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-159

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,033
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-139

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,085
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-99

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,984
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<20

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,753
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-79

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,378
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-59

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,198
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100-119

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,112
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20-39

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$721
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Trump Truth Social post market tracks real-time odds, price movements, and 24-hour volume of $9,659. It shows how traders on Polymarket are betting on whether Donald Trump will post on Truth Social between the specified dates. The page updates continuously, giving you a live view of market sentiment and trading activity for this political event.

This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. Traders will look for official Truth Social activity logs and reputable news coverage to determine whether Donald Trump posted within the defined timeframe. The market settles based on publicly available evidence, ensuring an objective resolution process.

Major signals that could shift this market include Donald Trump’s public statements about social media use, platform policy changes affecting Truth Social, significant political developments, or health-related announcements impacting his schedule. Any news suggesting a higher or lower likelihood of posting — whether from advisors, scheduled events, or media reports — may cause rapid price swings as traders adjust their positions.