TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Politics
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 28 - August 4, 2026?
polymarket

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 28 - August 4, 2026?

Volume:
$183,781

160-179

 - Polymarket

160-179 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 5:24 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

160-179

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,724
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

100-119

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,826
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-79

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,242
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-159

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,957
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-139

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,374
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,295
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-59

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,139
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20-39

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,251
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

180-199

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,838
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

200+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,128
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<20

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,007
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 28, 12:00 PM ET and August 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 28, 12:00 PM ET and August 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Trump Truth Social post market shows real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $104,770. It tracks how traders on Polymarket are pricing the likelihood of Donald Trump posting a specific number of messages during the week of July 28 to August 4, 2026. This view isolates Polymarket’s market dynamics, reflecting participant sentiment and betting activity as the event approaches.

This market resolves around Aug 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final count of Truth Social posts made by Donald Trump between July 28 and August 4, 2026, will determine which market outcome is correct. No additional interpretation is needed — the raw tally from the platform itself settles the contract.

News about Donald Trump’s travel schedule, speaking engagements, or platform announcements could shift this market. Any period of heightened activity or confirmed breaks from regular posting patterns may cause traders to adjust odds. Additionally, technical issues with Truth Social or changes to the platform’s functionality could impact expectations, especially if they affect how or when Trump can post during the week.