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405,232

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Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 24 - July 31, 2026?
polymarket

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 24 - July 31, 2026?

Volume:
$79,799

160-179

 - Polymarket

160-179 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

Closed: Jul 31, 2:09 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

160-179

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,128
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

140-159

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,222
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,473
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<20

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,290
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20-39

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,887
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-139

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,525
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-79

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,558
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-59

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,082
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

200+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,247
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

180-199

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,549
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100-119

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,838
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 24, 12:00 PM ET and July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 24, 12:00 PM ET and July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional polls measure different things: polls sample voter opinion at a single moment, while this market aggregates real-money bets on a verifiable outcome. The leading outcome in this market reflects traders' collective assessment of Trump's actual posting behavior, not public sentiment. Because traders have financial incentive to forecast accurately, prediction markets often incorporate information faster than polls and adjust dynamically as new signals emerge. Comparing the odds here to historical polling on Trump's social media habits can reveal whether the market is pricing in expectations above or below past patterns, though direct equivalents are rare for such specific behavioral metrics.

This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, once the trading window for that week closes. The outcome is determined by the actual number of Truth Social posts Donald Trump publishes between July 24 and July 31, 2026, verified against credible public sources. Whichever outcome bracket matches the final count will be marked correct, and all traders holding that contract receive their payout. Until the resolution date arrives, odds will continue to fluctuate based on new information, market sentiment, and real-time developments that might influence Trump's posting behavior during that specific week.

Several factors could shift odds before Jul 31, 2026. Major political announcements, legal developments, or campaign events involving Trump might alter his social media activity patterns. Changes in Truth Social's platform features or user engagement could also influence posting frequency. Media coverage of Trump's online presence or shifts in his communication strategy may prompt traders to reassess their forecasts. Additionally, historical data on Trump's posting habits during comparable periods could emerge and reshape expectations. Real-time tracking of his actual posts as the week approaches will likely drive significant price movement, as traders update their models based on observed behavior rather than speculation alone.