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Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?
polymarket

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?

Volume:
$29,625

200+

 - Polymarket

200+ - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 2:19 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

200+

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,572
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

180-199

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,390
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

160-179

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,948
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-159

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,737
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-139

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,086
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-59

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$908
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100-119

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$690
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$640
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20-39

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$570
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-79

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$549
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<20

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$535
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

Unlike traditional polls that sample public opinion, this market uses real-money bets to price the probability of a Trump Truth Social post. While polls might gauge voter sentiment or expectations, this market reflects trader confidence based on available information, news cycles, and historical patterns. The resulting odds can diverge significantly from polling averages, especially when events or announcements shift expectations in the weeks before Sep 1, 2026.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders continuously set the price through buying and selling contracts that pay out if Donald Trump posts on Truth Social within the specified period. The current implied probability reflects the balance of bets and available liquidity. As new information emerges — such as Trump’s scheduled appearances or platform activity — the market can shift rapidly, adjusting the odds based on real-time trading activity.

This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will look for an official post from Donald Trump on Truth Social between August 25 and September 1, 2026. If such a post is documented by reputable news sources or the platform itself, the market settles accordingly; absence of evidence through Sep 1, 2026 leads to the opposite result.

Several signals could shift this market before it closes. Announcements of Trump’s public schedules, especially any media appearances or live events near the August–September window, may increase posting odds. Platform outages or policy changes on Truth Social could suppress activity, moving prices downward. Additionally, breaking political news, legal developments, or viral moments involving Trump may cause rapid repricing as traders reassess the likelihood of an post by Sep 1, 2026.