TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 11:01 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks projected credit card spending at Dollar General for August 2026, using data from Carbon Arc. The index compares spending to the same month in the previous year, with values above 100 indicating growth. Outcomes depend on whether reported values meet specific thresholds.
All markets in this event resolve based on the Carbon Arc Dollar General Credit Card Spend index for August 2026. The index reflects year-over-year changes in U.S. credit and debit card transactions at Dollar General, with 100 representing equal spending compared to the prior year. Values above 100 signify growth, while values below 100 indicate a decline. Each market has a distinct threshold (e.g., above 89, above 92.5, etc.), and all resolve to 'Yes' if the first reported value by Carbon Arc meets or exceeds that threshold. Post-settlement corrections or revisions do not alter outcomes. The index is derived from Carbon Arc’s aggregated transaction panel, updated daily. Kalshi bears no official affiliation with Dollar General or Carbon Arc, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Official sales data releases, financial announcements, or reputable industry analyses will determine whether August’s spend meets the market’s defined thresholds. Traders should watch for scheduled earnings reports or third-party aggregators that compile the necessary figures.
Key signals include early retail sales indicators, consumer confidence surveys, and macroeconomic data affecting discretionary spending. Any surprise announcements from Dollar General—such as promotions, partnerships, or changes in credit card usage—could also shift this market sharply. Additionally, broader economic trends like inflation shifts or federal policy changes may influence trader sentiment in the weeks leading to Sep 14, 2026.