TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dollar General Credit Card Spend in August
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What will Dollar General’s credit card spend be in August?

Volume:
$7,994

Above 96

 - Kalshi

Above 96 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 11:01 AM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 96

View
100%
94%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,186
N/A
N/A
$2,586
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 92.5

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,104
N/A
N/A
$1,613
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 89

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$259
N/A
N/A
$136
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 99.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,445
N/A
N/A
$1,805
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 103

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks projected credit card spending at Dollar General for August 2026, using data from Carbon Arc. The index compares spending to the same month in the previous year, with values above 100 indicating growth. Outcomes depend on whether reported values meet specific thresholds.

Kalshi

All markets in this event resolve based on the Carbon Arc Dollar General Credit Card Spend index for August 2026. The index reflects year-over-year changes in U.S. credit and debit card transactions at Dollar General, with 100 representing equal spending compared to the prior year. Values above 100 signify growth, while values below 100 indicate a decline. Each market has a distinct threshold (e.g., above 89, above 92.5, etc.), and all resolve to 'Yes' if the first reported value by Carbon Arc meets or exceeds that threshold. Post-settlement corrections or revisions do not alter outcomes. The index is derived from Carbon Arc’s aggregated transaction panel, updated daily. Kalshi bears no official affiliation with Dollar General or Carbon Arc, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the latest odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $1,283 for the Dollar General August spend market. It shows real-time trader sentiment and liquidity trends as participants bet on whether Dollar General's credit card spend in August will meet specific thresholds. The chart visualizes how market expectations shift over time, helping users monitor volatility and trading activity centered around this single event.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Official sales data releases, financial announcements, or reputable industry analyses will determine whether August’s spend meets the market’s defined thresholds. Traders should watch for scheduled earnings reports or third-party aggregators that compile the necessary figures.

Key signals include early retail sales indicators, consumer confidence surveys, and macroeconomic data affecting discretionary spending. Any surprise announcements from Dollar General—such as promotions, partnerships, or changes in credit card usage—could also shift this market sharply. Additionally, broader economic trends like inflation shifts or federal policy changes may influence trader sentiment in the weeks leading to Sep 14, 2026.