TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 11:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Dogecoin's price will move up or down on May 19, 2026, measured by the closing price of the DOGE/USDT pair on Binance at noon ET. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently stands at 10.0%. The resolution will be determined by comparing the May 18 noon ET close to the May 19 noon ET close on Binance. Watch for significant cryptocurrency market movements or regulatory announcements in the days leading up to May 19, 2026, as these could influence intraday price action.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for DOGE/USDT May 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 19 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for DOGE/USDT May 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 19 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective belief about Dogecoin's direction by May 19, 2026, while spot price expectations derive from technical analysis, on-chain metrics, and sentiment surveys. Prediction markets often incorporate forward-looking information faster than traditional analysis because real money is at stake. Comparing the implied probability from Polymarket odds against analyst forecasts and social media sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to broader crypto community expectations.
On Polymarket, Dogecoin Up or Down on May 19 is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the ratio of capital allocated to each side; higher demand for the up outcome raises its price toward 1.00, while down-side demand lowers it. Polymarket uses an automated market maker model, so prices adjust continuously based on order flow. Volume of $1,681 shows the cumulative liquidity available for this event, enabling traders to enter and exit positions with minimal slippage.
The market resolves on May 19, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by Dogecoin's price movement direction relative to its starting reference point. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake. The resolution is final and irreversible once the market closes, so it is important to monitor Dogecoin's price action closely in the days leading up to the deadline to inform your trading decisions.
Several catalysts could influence Dogecoin's direction by May 19, 2026. Regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrencies, major exchange listings or delistings, shifts in Bitcoin's price (which often drives altcoin sentiment), social media trends, and macroeconomic data releases can all trigger volatility. Additionally, updates to Dogecoin's development roadmap, whale wallet movements, and broader crypto market sentiment swings may sway trader expectations. Monitoring on-chain activity, developer updates, and correlation with Bitcoin will help you anticipate potential price moves before resolution.