TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 13, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for DOGE/USDT Jun 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for DOGE/USDT Jun 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for DOGE/USDT Jun 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for DOGE/USDT Jun 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, while spot price expectations capture current market sentiment at crypto exchanges. This market aggregates thousands of individual forecasts into a single probability, often diverging from casual price-watching because traders have real capital at stake. When odds here diverge sharply from what analysts or social media suggest, it typically signals either mispricing or that the crowd has access to information not yet reflected in casual sentiment. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus breaks down.
On Polymarket, traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome—up or down—and the price of each share reflects the implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders bet on one direction, that share price rises and the opposing outcome falls, creating a dynamic equilibrium. The current odds you see represent the last traded price; your entry or exit price may shift based on order book depth and recent volume. This continuous pricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to new information about Dogecoin's likely movement.
This market resolves around Jun 13, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once Dogecoin's price movement on that date is verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution hinges on whether DOGE closes higher or lower than its opening price on June 13, measured against established price feeds. Once the event is finalized and reported, the winning outcome is locked in and traders receive payouts based on their positions. No further trading occurs after resolution.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrencies, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin or Ethereum price swings, and Dogecoin-specific news such as exchange listings or developer updates. Social media momentum and celebrity endorsements have historically moved DOGE significantly. Broader crypto market sentiment, Federal Reserve policy signals, and traditional market volatility can all ripple into altcoin trading. Traders will adjust odds as these signals emerge, so watch for breaking news in the crypto and macro space leading up to June 13.