TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 10:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus about Dogecoin's directional move by May 31, 9AM ET, but they differ from spot price analysis. While technical analysts and on-chain researchers may focus on current momentum and support levels, prediction markets price in forward-looking expectations and tail risks. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst price targets or social sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to fundamental signals. This divergence often highlights where informed traders see value or risk.
On Polymarket, Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 9AM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the collective belief of active traders on that venue. Prices move continuously as new trades execute, with the spread between bid and ask reflecting liquidity and conviction. Traders can enter positions at any time before the May 31, 9AM ET deadline, and payouts are determined by the final price direction at resolution.
The market resolves on May 31, 2026. At that moment, the outcome is determined by Dogecoin's price direction relative to its level at the specified time. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The exact resolution criteria—including which price feed or exchange is used as reference—are defined in the market rules. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the deadline as the outcome is verified and payouts are distributed to winners.
Several catalysts could influence Dogecoin's direction into May 31, 9AM ET. Macro crypto sentiment shifts, Bitcoin price action, and major regulatory announcements often drive altcoin moves. Dogecoin-specific developments—such as exchange listings, protocol updates, or celebrity endorsements—can create sharp swings. Broader market events like Fed policy shifts or stock market volatility may also ripple into crypto. Social media momentum and whale accumulation patterns are worth monitoring. Traders should watch for technical breakouts, funding rate extremes, and any news tied to Dogecoin adoption or utility.