TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader expectations about Dogecoin's price direction, which may differ from current spot prices on crypto exchanges. While spot markets show real-time trading, prediction markets isolate sentiment about a specific future moment—3PM ET on May 31st. Traders on Polymarket factor in volatility, upcoming catalysts, and macro conditions when pricing their bets. Comparing the implied probability from Polymarket to analyst forecasts or technical analysis can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish scenarios relative to expert opinion.
On Polymarket, Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 3PM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing "Up" or "Down" outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the collective trading activity and belief of Polymarket participants. Share prices range from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%), with the spread between bid and ask prices indicating liquidity and conviction. As traders adjust positions ahead of the 3PM ET resolution on May 31st, prices shift to reflect new information and sentiment changes in the Dogecoin market.
The Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 3PM ET market resolves on May 31, 2026. At that moment, the outcome is determined by Dogecoin's price level at exactly 3PM ET. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake. The resolution is final once the price snapshot is recorded and verified. Until then, odds on Polymarket will continue to fluctuate as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions based on market developments and technical signals.
Several catalysts could shift Dogecoin's price direction before the May 31st resolution. Major Bitcoin or broader crypto market moves often drag Dogecoin along, given its correlation with larger assets. Regulatory announcements, social media sentiment from influential figures, and macroeconomic data releases can trigger sharp swings. Technical levels and support/resistance zones may also spark buying or selling pressure. Exchange listings, partnership news, or shifts in retail investor interest could accelerate momentum. Traders on Polymarket will reprice odds continuously as these signals emerge, so monitoring news flow and on-chain metrics is essential for predicting the final outcome.