TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations about Dogecoin's direction by May 31, 2PM ET, which may differ from current spot price momentum. While spot prices show real-time exchange valuations, prediction markets price in forward-looking sentiment and uncertainty. Comparing these odds to analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish catalysts. Divergences between prediction odds and spot price trends often signal where informed traders see mispricing or upcoming volatility.
On Polymarket, the Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 2PM ET market is priced as binary outcome shares: one contract for up and one for down. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell these shares, and the price of each reflects the probability assigned by the market. As new information emerges—such as regulatory announcements, macroeconomic shifts, or Dogecoin network developments—traders adjust positions, moving prices toward the perceived likelihood of each outcome. The market price at any moment represents the consensus forecast of Polymarket participants.
The market resolves on May 31, 2026. At that time, Dogecoin's price direction relative to the snapshot taken at May 31, 2PM ET will determine the outcome. The event is designed to settle based on whether DOGE closes above or below its price at the specified moment. Traders should monitor the exact resolution criteria and any official announcements from Polymarket to understand how the final price will be verified and which outcome will be deemed correct.
Several catalysts could influence Dogecoin's direction by May 31, 2PM ET. Regulatory announcements regarding cryptocurrency or meme coins, macroeconomic policy shifts, and Bitcoin price movements often drive DOGE sentiment. Social media trends, endorsements, and network upgrades can also trigger volatility. Market-wide risk-off events, changes in retail investor appetite, and major exchange listings or delistings may impact price. Monitoring on-chain metrics, funding rates, and trader positioning on Polymarket can help identify shifting market expectations before the resolution date.