TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus about Dogecoin's direction by May 31, 12PM ET, which may differ from current spot price momentum or technical analysis. While spot price shows Dogecoin's live trading value, prediction market odds incorporate forward-looking expectations and tail risks over the full event window. Comparing market-implied probabilities to analyst forecasts or on-chain sentiment indicators can reveal whether traders are pricing in bullish or bearish catalysts ahead of resolution. The market odds adjust dynamically as new information emerges, whereas spot price reacts to immediate trading demand.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 12PM ET event is priced through binary outcome shares: one contract for Dogecoin closing up and another for down. Traders buy and sell these shares, and the market price of each reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring by May 31, 12PM ET. Prices range from near zero to near one dollar, with complementary outcomes summing to approximately one dollar. Liquidity and trading volume on Polymarket determine how tightly bid-ask spreads stay and how quickly large orders can be filled without significant slippage.
The market resolves on May 31, 2026. At that moment, Dogecoin's price at the specified 12PM ET timestamp determines whether the up or down outcome occurs. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing shares expire worthless. The exact reference price source and settlement methodology are defined in the market's terms; resolution typically occurs within hours of the timestamp to ensure fair and transparent settlement. Once resolved, the market closes and no further trading is possible.
Dogecoin's price direction by May 31, 12PM ET could be influenced by macroeconomic shifts, Bitcoin and broader crypto market momentum, regulatory announcements, social media sentiment, and major exchange listings or delistings. Elon Musk statements or Tesla-related news often impact Dogecoin volatility given its cultural ties. Technical levels, support and resistance zones, and derivative market positioning can also drive short-term swings. On-chain metrics such as whale accumulation or exchange inflows may signal institutional interest. Monitoring these catalysts alongside prediction market odds helps traders assess whether current pricing reflects upcoming risks and opportunities.