TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 10:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations for Dogecoin's price direction by May 30, 9PM ET. These odds can differ from spot market sentiment because prediction markets reward accuracy over a specific timeframe, incentivizing participants to price in volatility, momentum, and upcoming catalysts. Spot price expectations may emphasize immediate trading flows, while prediction markets incorporate longer-term conviction. Comparing the two reveals whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish momentum relative to current Dogecoin trading levels.
On Polymarket, the Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET event is priced through an automated market maker that sets odds based on the ratio of shares held in each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy shares in either the Up or Down outcome; the more capital flowing into one side, the higher its price and implied probability. Prices adjust in real time as new trades occur, allowing participants to enter or exit positions continuously. The final price at resolution reflects the market's consensus on whether Dogecoin moved up or down by the specified deadline.
The market resolves on May 31, 2026. Resolution is determined by comparing Dogecoin's price at the specified time to the reference price established at market creation. The outcome depends on whether Dogecoin closes above or below that reference level at May 30, 9PM ET. Once the resolution timestamp passes, the market locks and final settlement occurs based on the verified price data. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout.
Several catalysts could influence Dogecoin's direction by May 30, 9PM ET. Regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency sentiment, major exchange listings or delistings, shifts in Bitcoin's price (which often drives altcoin movement), social media trends, and macroeconomic developments can all trigger volatility. Technical levels and support or resistance zones may also guide trader positioning. Additionally, broader crypto market sentiment, institutional adoption news, or changes in network activity could sway the outcome. Monitoring these signals helps traders assess the probability of each direction.