TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Crypto
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 3PM ET
polymarket

Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 3PM ET

Volume:
$301

Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 3PM ET

 - Polymarket

Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 3PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 30, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Outcome
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Chance %
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Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
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polymarket

Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 3PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$301
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Intro

This market tracks whether Dogecoin's price will close higher than or equal to its opening level during the one-hour candle beginning at 3PM ET on May 30, 2026. Currently on Polymarket, the leading outcome holds 50.0% probability. Resolution will be determined by the DOGE/USDT price action on Binance, with the outcome depending on whether the closing price meets or exceeds the opening price for that specific hourly candle on May 30 at 3PM ET.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective belief about DOGE's direction by the May 30 deadline, which may diverge from current spot prices on crypto exchanges. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets price in expectations over the full time horizon until resolution. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts or historical volatility patterns can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish sentiment relative to fundamental expectations. This gap often highlights where informed traders see value.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing "Up" or "Down" outcomes. The current odds reflect the cumulative trading activity and order book depth on the platform. Share prices range from 0 to 1, with the sum of both outcomes equaling 1. As new trades execute, prices adjust in real time. Higher trading volume typically narrows spreads and increases price stability, while lower liquidity can create wider bid-ask gaps and more volatile swings around fair value.

The market resolves at May 30, 2026. At that exact moment, the outcome is determined by Dogecoin's price level relative to the specified threshold. Traders who backed the correct direction receive their payout, while the losing side forfeits their stake. The resolution is binary—there is no partial settlement or tie outcome. Timing precision is critical, as the snapshot is taken at the designated 3PM ET timestamp on May 30, 2026.

Major catalysts include regulatory announcements affecting crypto markets, Bitcoin price movements (which often drive altcoin sentiment), social media momentum from influential figures, macroeconomic data releases, and shifts in risk appetite. Technical levels and support/resistance zones can also trigger algorithmic trading. Unexpected news about blockchain adoption, exchange listings, or broader market corrections could create sharp directional moves. Closer to May 30, end-of-month positioning and options expiry dynamics may amplify volatility. Monitoring on-chain metrics and trading volume spikes can help anticipate momentum shifts.