TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dogecoin Up or Down - March 30, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

Dogecoin Up or Down - March 30, 5PM ET

Volume:
$4,482

$0.09 or above

 - Kalshi

$0.09 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 31, 2026

Closed: Mar 30, 5:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$0.09 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,596
N/A
N/A
$1,389
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dogecoin Up or Down - March 30, 5PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,188
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.08 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$400
N/A
N/A
$400
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.065 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$138
N/A
N/A
$135
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.07 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$118
N/A
N/A
$110
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.06 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$117
N/A
N/A
$106
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.075 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$106
N/A
N/A
$106
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.05 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$82
N/A
N/A
$82
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.055 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
$72
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.085 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$27
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.005 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.01 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.015 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.02 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.025 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.03 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.035 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.04 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.045 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.095 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$483
N/A
N/A
$392
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.1 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.105 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.11 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.115 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.12 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 38

Description

This event group tracks whether Dogecoin's price moves up or down at a specific moment on March 30, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses Binance DOGE/USDT 1-hour candle open/close comparison, while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) with a 60-second average. Both markets resolve based on price data at the same timestamp but from different data sources and methodologies.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi employ different price sources (Binance spot candle vs. CF Benchmarks index) and different measurement methodologies (relative candle comparison vs. absolute threshold levels), creating independent resolution paths for the same event timestamp.Hero tip: These are not equivalent markets. Polymarket resolves on Binance DOGE/USDT candle structure; Kalshi resolves on CF Benchmarks index thresholds. Price action that satisfies one may not satisfy the other. Treat them as separate bets on different price signals.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary Up/Down based on Binance DOGE/USDT 1-hour candle. Resolves Up if close price >= open price for the candle beginning at 5 PM ET on March 30, 2026. Otherwise resolves Down. Single resolution source: Binance official DOGE/USDT pair data.
  • Kalshi: 37 separate Yes/No markets, each testing whether CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) 60-second average before 5 PM EDT exceeds a specific threshold (0.0049999 through 0.1849999). Each threshold is an independent market; all resolve Yes if the index exceeds their respective level.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.