TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 30, 5PM ET
Volume:
$4,482
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group tracks whether Dogecoin's price moves up or down at a specific moment on March 30, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses Binance DOGE/USDT 1-hour candle open/close comparison, while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) with a 60-second average. Both markets resolve based on price data at the same timestamp but from different data sources and methodologies.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi employ different price sources (Binance spot candle vs. CF Benchmarks index) and different measurement methodologies (relative candle comparison vs. absolute threshold levels), creating independent resolution paths for the same event timestamp.Hero Tip:
These are not equivalent markets. Polymarket resolves on Binance DOGE/USDT candle structure; Kalshi resolves on CF Benchmarks index thresholds. Price action that satisfies one may not satisfy the other. Treat them as separate bets on different price signals.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary Up/Down based on Binance DOGE/USDT 1-hour candle. Resolves Up if close price >= open price for the candle beginning at 5 PM ET on March 30, 2026. Otherwise resolves Down. Single resolution source: Binance official DOGE/USDT pair data.
- Kalshi: 37 separate Yes/No markets, each testing whether CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) 60-second average before 5 PM EDT exceeds a specific threshold (0.0049999 through 0.1849999). Each threshold is an independent market; all resolve Yes if the index exceeds their respective level.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.