TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 29, 5PM ET
Volume:
$2,084
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group tracks whether Dogecoin's price moves up or down during a specific 1-hour candle ending at 5 PM ET on March 29, 2026. Polymarket uses Binance DOGE/USDT spot price (open vs. close comparison), while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) with multiple price-level thresholds. The two platforms measure different underlying assets and employ fundamentally different resolution methodologies.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Two platforms use different price indices (Binance DOGE/USDT vs. CF Benchmarks DOGEUSD_RTI) and incompatible resolution structures (directional candle comparison vs. absolute price-level thresholds). Markets are not economically equivalent.Hero Tip:
These are fundamentally different markets. Polymarket is a simple directional bet (Up or Down). Kalshi offers 37 separate binary outcomes tied to specific price levels. Price divergence between Binance and CF Benchmarks could cause one platform to resolve Yes while the other resolves No/Down. Monitor both indices separately and do not cross-hedge.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary Up/Down resolution based on Binance DOGE/USDT 1H candle. Resolves Up if close >= open; Down otherwise. Single outcome per market. Source: Binance spot price feed.
- Kalshi: 37 independent Yes/No markets, each tied to a specific DOGEUSD_RTI price threshold (0.005 to 0.185 in increments). Each market resolves Yes if 60-second average of CF Benchmarks index exceeds its threshold before 5 PM EDT. No single Up/Down outcome; instead, a ladder of price-level bets. Source: CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.