TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dogecoin Up or Down - March 29, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

Dogecoin Up or Down - March 29, 5PM ET

Volume:
$2,084

$0.09 or above

 - Kalshi

$0.09 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 30, 2026

Closed: Mar 29, 5:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$0.09 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,197
N/A
N/A
$1,157
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dogecoin Up or Down - March 29, 5PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$754
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.085 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
$22
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.045 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$9
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.055 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.07 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.02 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.005 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
$4
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.01 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
$4
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.015 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
$4
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.025 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
$4
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.03 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
$4
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.035 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
$4
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.04 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
$4
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.05 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
$4
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.06 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
$4
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.065 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
$4
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.075 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.1 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
$21
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.095 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.175 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.18 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.185 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.11 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.08 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 38

Description

This event group tracks whether Dogecoin's price moves up or down during a specific 1-hour candle ending at 5 PM ET on March 29, 2026. Polymarket uses Binance DOGE/USDT spot price (open vs. close comparison), while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) with multiple price-level thresholds. The two platforms measure different underlying assets and employ fundamentally different resolution methodologies.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Two platforms use different price indices (Binance DOGE/USDT vs. CF Benchmarks DOGEUSD_RTI) and incompatible resolution structures (directional candle comparison vs. absolute price-level thresholds). Markets are not economically equivalent.Hero tip: These are fundamentally different markets. Polymarket is a simple directional bet (Up or Down). Kalshi offers 37 separate binary outcomes tied to specific price levels. Price divergence between Binance and CF Benchmarks could cause one platform to resolve Yes while the other resolves No/Down. Monitor both indices separately and do not cross-hedge.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary Up/Down resolution based on Binance DOGE/USDT 1H candle. Resolves Up if close >= open; Down otherwise. Single outcome per market. Source: Binance spot price feed.
  • Kalshi: 37 independent Yes/No markets, each tied to a specific DOGEUSD_RTI price threshold (0.005 to 0.185 in increments). Each market resolves Yes if 60-second average of CF Benchmarks index exceeds its threshold before 5 PM EDT. No single Up/Down outcome; instead, a ladder of price-level bets. Source: CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.