TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This event group tracks whether Dogecoin's price moves up or down during a specific 1-hour candle on March 27, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses Binance DOGE/USDT spot price (open vs close comparison), while Kalshi references CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) with multiple threshold-based conditions. Both markets resolve based on price data at the same moment in time but use fundamentally different data sources and comparison methodologies.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains 42 logically identical YES-resolution conditions with no defined NO outcome or baseline threshold. Combined with incompatible price sources (Binance spot vs CF Benchmarks RTI), this market is fundamentally unresolvable as specified.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi until platform clarifies the NO condition and baseline threshold. Polymarket is the only market with clear, standard resolution logic. If both markets must be traded, assume Kalshi will require manual intervention or dispute resolution.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary comparison of Binance DOGE/USDT 1H candle open vs close. UP if close >= open; DOWN otherwise. Single, unambiguous rule with clear data source and finalization criteria.Kalshi:
42 conditions all stating 'If 60-second average of DOGEUSD_RTI is above [threshold] at 5 PM EDT, resolve YES.' No explicit NO condition, no baseline, no tie-breaker. Thresholds range 0.0049999 to 0.2099999 in 0.005 increments. Logic is incomplete and contradictory.
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