TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dogecoin Up or Down - March 27, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

Dogecoin Up or Down - March 27, 5PM ET

Volume:
$11,592

$0.09 or above

 - Kalshi

$0.09 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Mar 27, 5:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$0.09 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,760
N/A
N/A
$1,160
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.065 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$622
N/A
N/A
$560
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.075 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$522
N/A
N/A
$407
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.01 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$383
N/A
N/A
$383
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.045 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$342
N/A
N/A
$342
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.07 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$316
N/A
N/A
$306
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.005 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$301
N/A
N/A
$301
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.035 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$268
N/A
N/A
$262
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.08 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$248
N/A
N/A
$218
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.05 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$221
N/A
N/A
$221
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.025 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$215
N/A
N/A
$215
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.015 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$204
N/A
N/A
$204
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.03 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.02 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$193
N/A
N/A
$193
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.04 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$193
N/A
N/A
$187
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.085 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$155
N/A
N/A
$104
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.06 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$132
N/A
N/A
$117
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.055 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.095 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,239
N/A
N/A
$1,505
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.105 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$935
N/A
N/A
$841
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.2 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$406
N/A
N/A
$403
Settled
No
polymarket

Dogecoin Up or Down - March 27, 5PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$248
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.1 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$142
N/A
N/A
$91
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.13 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$98
N/A
N/A
$98
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.11 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74
N/A
N/A
$74
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 43

Description

This event group tracks whether Dogecoin's price moves up or down during a specific 1-hour candle on March 27, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses Binance DOGE/USDT spot price (open vs close comparison), while Kalshi references CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) with multiple threshold-based conditions. Both markets resolve based on price data at the same moment in time but use fundamentally different data sources and comparison methodologies.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains 42 logically identical YES-resolution conditions with no defined NO outcome or baseline threshold. Combined with incompatible price sources (Binance spot vs CF Benchmarks RTI), this market is fundamentally unresolvable as specified.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi until platform clarifies the NO condition and baseline threshold. Polymarket is the only market with clear, standard resolution logic. If both markets must be traded, assume Kalshi will require manual intervention or dispute resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary comparison of Binance DOGE/USDT 1H candle open vs close. UP if close >= open; DOWN otherwise. Single, unambiguous rule with clear data source and finalization criteria.
  • Kalshi: 42 conditions all stating 'If 60-second average of DOGEUSD_RTI is above [threshold] at 5 PM EDT, resolve YES.' No explicit NO condition, no baseline, no tie-breaker. Thresholds range 0.0049999 to 0.2099999 in 0.005 increments. Logic is incomplete and contradictory.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.