TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dogecoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

Dogecoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Volume:
$3,440

$0.095 or above

 - Kalshi

$0.095 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Mar 25, 5:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$0.095 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,028
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.09 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$104
N/A
N/A
$104
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.1 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,136
N/A
N/A
$1,134
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.12 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$935
N/A
N/A
$935
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.175 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$196
N/A
N/A
$196
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.185 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
$27
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.18 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.105 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.135 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.06 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.05 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.055 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.13 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.03 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.125 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.155 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.15 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.035 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.045 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.015 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.17 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.025 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.14 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.16 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.115 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 38

Description

This event group tracks whether Dogecoin's price will be higher at the end of a 4-hour window (4:00 PM–8:00 PM ET on March 25) compared to its price at the start. Polymarket uses Chainlink's DOGE/USD oracle, while Kalshi references CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) at a single checkpoint (5:00 PM EDT).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Two distinct resolution methodologies: Polymarket measures intraday price movement (4 PM to 8 PM ET) using Chainlink, while Kalshi resolves at a single checkpoint (5 PM EDT) using CF Benchmarks with 37 independent price-level thresholds.Hero tip: Treat these as separate markets with different risk profiles. Polymarket is a volatility/direction play; Kalshi's 37 markets are price-level binary bets. Chainlink and CF Benchmarks may diverge slightly. Kalshi's 5 PM resolution is 3 hours before Polymarket's window closes, so late-window price action affects only Polymarket.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Directional price-change market over 4-hour window. Resolves Up if Chainlink DOGE/USD at 8:00 PM ET >= price at 4:00 PM ET; otherwise Down. Single binary outcome. Source: Chainlink DOGE/USD data stream.
  • Kalshi: 37 independent price-level markets. Each resolves Yes if 60-second average of CF Benchmarks DOGEUSD_RTI before 5:00 PM EDT exceeds a specific threshold (ranging 0.0049999 to 0.1849999). All thresholds resolve identically to Yes/No based on single price check at 5 PM EDT.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.