TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dogecoin Up or Down - March 18, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

Dogecoin Up or Down - March 18, 5PM ET

Volume:
$3,326

$0.095 or above

 - Kalshi

$0.095 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 19, 2026

Closed: Mar 18, 5:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$0.095 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,533
N/A
N/A
$800
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.06 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dogecoin Up or Down - March 18, 5PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$51
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.09 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$19
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.1 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$306
N/A
N/A
$250
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.105 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$282
N/A
N/A
$255
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.11 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
$19
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.01 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.04 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.035 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.075 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.185 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.155 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.02 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.125 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.08 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.015 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.055 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.085 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.17 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.005 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.115 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.045 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.165 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.15 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 40

Description

This event group tracks whether Dogecoin's price moves up or down during a specific 1-hour window on March 18, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses Binance DOGE/USDT candle data (close vs open), while Kalshi references CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index with multiple price thresholds. The core question is identical across platforms, but the resolution sources and methodologies differ significantly.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use incompatible resolution sources (Binance DOGE/USDT vs CF Benchmarks DOGEUSD_RTI) and incompatible logic structures (binary directional vs multi-threshold cascade). Kalshi's 39 conditions all map to Yes with no explicit No condition, making it logically incomplete and potentially unresolvable as a true up/down market.Hero tip: Treat these as two separate markets. Polymarket is a clean directional bet on Binance spot price. Kalshi's structure suggests it may be a series of price-level markets, not a directional bet. Before trading, verify Kalshi's actual No condition and confirm CF Benchmarks data availability at 5 PM EDT on March 18, 2026. Price divergence between Binance and CF Benchmarks could cause cross-platform resolution mismatches.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary directional resolution: Up if DOGE/USDT close >= open on Binance 1H candle; otherwise Down. Single, authoritative source (Binance spot price). Key Quote: 'The close C and open O displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant 1H candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.'
  • Kalshi: Threshold cascade: 39 conditions, each resolving to Yes if CF Benchmarks DOGEUSD_RTI 60-second average exceeds a specific price level (0.0049999 to 0.1949999). No explicit No condition provided. Key Quote: 'If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is above [threshold] at 5 PM EDT on Mar 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.