TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dogecoin Up or Down - March 14, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

Dogecoin Up or Down - March 14, 5PM ET

Volume:
$1,075

Dogecoin Up or Down - March 14, 5PM ET

 - Polymarket

Dogecoin Up or Down - March 14, 5PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 15, 2026

Closed: Mar 14, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Dogecoin Up or Down - March 14, 5PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.085 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.095 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$747
N/A
N/A
$428
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.14 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
$93
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.1 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
$83
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.12 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$73
N/A
N/A
$73
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.075 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.11 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.065 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.125 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.13 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.08 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.135 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.07 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.06 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.115 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.02 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.005 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.01 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.015 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.05 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.03 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.145 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.025 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.035 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 38

Description

This event group tracks whether Dogecoin's price moves up or down during a specific 1-hour window on March 14, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses Binance DOGE/USDT candle data (close vs. open), while Kalshi references CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) with a 60-second average window.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use different price indices (Binance DOGE/USDT candle vs. CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index) and different measurement windows (1-hour candle vs. 60-second average), creating potential for conflicting outcomes.Hero tip: Monitor both Binance DOGE/USDT and CF Benchmarks DOGEUSD_RTI independently. A move up on one exchange may not align with the aggregated index. Kalshi's 37 identical Yes-resolution conditions warrant verification before trading.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary up/down resolution based on Binance DOGE/USDT 1-hour candle. Resolves Up if close >= open, Down otherwise. Single source of truth: Binance exchange data for the specific 1H candle beginning at 5 PM ET on March 14.
  • Kalshi: Multi-threshold Yes resolution based on CF Benchmarks Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI). All 37 conditions resolve to Yes if the 60-second average before 5 PM EDT exceeds thresholds ranging from 0.005 to 0.185. No explicit No condition provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.