TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dogecoin Up or Down - March 13, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

Dogecoin Up or Down - March 13, 5PM ET

Volume:
$2,934

$0.095 or above

 - Kalshi

$0.095 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Mar 13, 5:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$0.095 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,041
N/A
N/A
$1,334
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.09 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$92
N/A
N/A
$62
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.085 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
$14
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.05 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.055 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.155 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$327
N/A
N/A
$327
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.1 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$209
N/A
N/A
$166
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.14 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.105 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67
N/A
N/A
$67
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.115 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
$23
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.18 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.12 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.145 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$9
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.15 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$9
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.165 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.21 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.135 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.01 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.015 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.02 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.025 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.03 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.035 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.04 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.045 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 43

Description

This event group tracks whether Dogecoin's price moves up or down during a specific 1-hour window on March 13, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses Binance DOGE/USDT candle open/close comparison, while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' Real-Time Index with multiple price thresholds. The core question is identical across platforms, but the measurement methodologies and data sources differ significantly.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Two distinct data sources and measurement methodologies are used to resolve the same directional event. Polymarket uses Binance spot exchange candle data, while Kalshi uses a third-party real-time index. Price divergence between these sources at the resolution timestamp could produce conflicting outcomes.Hero tip: Traders should monitor both Binance DOGE/USDT and CF Benchmarks DOGEUSD_RTI in the 60 seconds before 5 PM EDT on March 13, 2026. If the two sources show materially different prices or directions, expect potential disputes or platform-specific resolutions. Kalshi's 42 conditions need clarification—confirm whether only one threshold applies or if the market structure is malformed.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary directional comparison using Binance DOGE/USDT 1H candle. Resolves UP if close price >= open price for the candle beginning at 5 PM ET on March 13. Single, unambiguous resolution path. Source: Binance official DOGE/USDT pair.
  • Kalshi: Uses CF Benchmarks Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) with 42 separate price threshold conditions. All conditions resolve to Yes if the 60-second average before 5 PM EDT exceeds the stated threshold. No explicit DOWN outcome defined. Thresholds range from 0.0049999 to 0.2099999. Source: CF Benchmarks real-time index.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.