TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 5, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect traders' collective belief about DOGE's direction by June 5, 1PM ET, while spot price expectations are typically derived from technical analysis, on-chain metrics, or analyst forecasts. Prediction markets often incorporate forward-looking sentiment that may diverge from current spot price trends. If the market is pricing in a high probability of DOGE moving up, this suggests traders expect bullish catalysts or momentum. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst consensus or social sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to conventional expectations.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy shares representing either the up or down outcome. The price of each share reflects the market's implied probability, ranging from near zero to near one dollar. As traders place orders, the automated market maker adjusts prices to balance supply and demand. Higher trading volume typically narrows spreads and increases price accuracy. You can enter or exit positions at any time before Jun 5, 2026, with your profit or loss determined by the final settlement price relative to your entry cost.
The market resolves at Jun 5, 2026. Resolution is determined by Dogecoin's price at the specified time on June 5, 1PM ET. The outcome hinges on whether DOGE closes above or below the reference level established at market creation. Once the resolution timestamp passes, the winning outcome is confirmed and shares are settled accordingly. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout, while losing shares expire worthless. The exact reference price and data source are specified in the market terms.
Several catalysts could influence DOGE price direction before June 5, 1PM ET. Broader crypto market movements, Bitcoin price action, and altcoin sentiment shifts often drive Dogecoin volatility. Social media trends, celebrity endorsements, and community developments can spark rapid moves. Regulatory announcements or macroeconomic events affecting risk appetite may also impact the market. Technical levels and resistance zones matter for short-term traders. Exchange listings, partnerships, or network upgrades could provide fundamental support. Monitor on-chain metrics like whale transactions and exchange inflows for clues about institutional or retail positioning ahead of resolution.