TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 10:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations for Dogecoin's directional movement by June 4, 9AM ET. These odds can diverge from spot price analysis or technical forecasts because prediction markets price in broader uncertainty, sentiment shifts, and tail-risk events. While spot price expectations focus on near-term momentum and chart patterns, prediction market probabilities incorporate all available information and trader conviction. Comparing the implied probability from Polymarket to analyst price targets or on-chain metrics can reveal whether markets are pricing in more or less bullish sentiment than traditional analysis suggests.
The market resolves on Jun 4, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by comparing Dogecoin's price at the specified resolution moment against a reference baseline. The up or down designation is settled based on whether the price has moved in the predicted direction. Once resolution criteria are met, the market is finalized and shares are redeemed according to the outcome. Traders should review the full event terms on Polymarket to understand the exact price source and settlement methodology before placing trades.
Several catalysts could influence Dogecoin's price direction before June 4, 9AM ET. Macro crypto sentiment shifts, Bitcoin volatility, and regulatory announcements often drive altcoin moves. Social media momentum and community events can amplify Dogecoin's volatility given its meme-coin heritage. Major exchange listings, partnerships, or developer updates could trigger directional moves. Broader market risk-off events, Fed policy signals, or traditional finance volatility may also impact crypto broadly. Traders should monitor on-chain metrics, whale wallet activity, and technical support and resistance levels to anticipate price swings that could determine the outcome.