TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations about Dogecoin's price direction by Jun 4, 2026. These odds often diverge from current spot prices because they incorporate forward-looking sentiment, technical analysis, and macroeconomic factors. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst price targets and on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish momentum. Spot price alone is a snapshot; prediction markets embed expectations about volatility, regulatory news, and broader crypto market conditions over the full time horizon until resolution.
On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the probability traders assign to that outcome, ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). As new information arrives—such as Dogecoin network developments, whale transactions, or broader crypto sentiment shifts—traders adjust their positions, moving the price. Liquidity and order-book depth on Polymarket determine how easily you can enter or exit positions at any given time.
The market resolves at Jun 4, 2026. At that moment, the outcome is determined by comparing Dogecoin's price to the specified reference level. Traders who backed the correct outcome receive their winnings based on the shares they held. The resolution is objective and based on verifiable price data, ensuring fair settlement for all participants. Once resolved, the market closes and no further trading occurs.
Several catalysts could shift Dogecoin's price before Jun 4, 2026. Major developments include announcements from prominent Dogecoin advocates, updates to the Dogecoin protocol, shifts in broader cryptocurrency sentiment, and macroeconomic news affecting risk appetite. Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements often correlate with altcoins like Dogecoin, so major moves in leading cryptocurrencies can trigger directional changes. Social media trends, exchange listings, and regulatory commentary can also drive volatility. Traders monitor these signals closely to adjust their positions and capture emerging opportunities.