TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations for Dogecoin's direction by June 4, 2PM ET, which may differ from current spot price momentum or technical analysis. While spot markets react to immediate price action, prediction markets embed longer-term directional bets and incorporate broader sentiment about volatility, regulatory news, and macro crypto trends. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to current price levels. Divergences between prediction odds and spot expectations often signal trading opportunities.
On Polymarket, Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 2PM ET is priced as a binary contract with two outcomes: up or down. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, with the price of each share reflecting the market's probability estimate. As traders adjust their positions based on new information, the odds shift in real time. The contract price converges toward either 0 or 1 as the June 4, 2PM ET deadline approaches, with the winning outcome resolving to full value and the losing outcome expiring worthless.
The Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 2PM ET market resolves on Jun 4, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by Dogecoin's price movement relative to the specified threshold and direction. The resolution captures the state of Dogecoin at exactly 2PM ET on June 4, 2026. Once the resolution criteria are met and verified, the winning outcome is paid out in full and the losing outcome expires worthless. Traders should monitor the approach to the deadline to manage their positions accordingly.
Several catalysts could influence Dogecoin's direction into June 4, 2PM ET. Major crypto market rallies or selloffs, Bitcoin price action, and shifts in retail sentiment often drive Dogecoin volatility. Regulatory announcements, social media trends, and macroeconomic data releases can trigger sharp moves. Elon Musk statements or Tesla-related news historically impact Dogecoin trading. Exchange listings, staking developments, or competing meme coins may also sway the market. Traders should monitor on-chain activity, funding rates, and broader crypto sentiment to anticipate directional pressure before resolution.