TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 29, 10:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reveal what traders collectively expect about near-term price action, often diverging from spot price alone. While spot price reflects the current market consensus at a single moment, this market embeds forward-looking sentiment about directional movement within a specific time window. Traders who monitor both spot prices and prediction odds can identify situations where the market's probability assignment appears misaligned with technical or fundamental signals, creating potential trading opportunities.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares tied to each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by the market; as more capital flows into one outcome, its odds rise and the competing outcome's odds fall. This continuous price discovery mechanism ensures that odds remain responsive to new information and trader conviction right up until the market closes.
This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning outcome is determined by whether Dogecoin's price at the specified time moved upward or downward relative to the opening level. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout once resolution is finalized.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency markets, macroeconomic data releases, shifts in Bitcoin or broader crypto sentiment, and social media momentum around Dogecoin itself. Technical levels and support or resistance zones may also trigger algorithmic trading or retail participation. News about exchange listings, partnerships, or developer activity can rapidly shift trader positioning. Volatility spikes in traditional markets sometimes correlate with crypto repricing, making this market sensitive to broader financial events in the hours leading up to resolution.