TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 29, 3:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, often diverging from simple spot price momentum. While technical analysts might focus on recent price action or support levels, this market aggregates diverse trader expectations into a single probability. The odds can signal whether the crowd expects volatility, news catalysts, or mean reversion by the resolution date. Comparing these odds to your own conviction about Dogecoin's near-term direction helps identify potential value or consensus bias in the market.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker that adjusts prices based on buy and sell volume. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the balance between bullish and bearish positions, with each trade moving the price incrementally. Higher volume typically narrows spreads and increases price stability, while lower liquidity can create wider bid-ask gaps. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, with prices continuously recalibrating to match supply and demand.
This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends on whether Dogecoin's price has moved up or down from its level at the specified time. Traders holding the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The exact settlement is determined by comparing verified price data at the resolution timestamp against the market's binary outcome structure.
Major catalysts include Dogecoin-specific news such as exchange listings, developer updates, or social media momentum from prominent figures. Broader crypto market movements, Bitcoin price swings, and regulatory announcements can also shift sentiment. Macroeconomic events, risk-on or risk-off sentiment, and changes in retail trading interest all influence short-term price direction. Technical levels, support and resistance zones, and options expiry dates may trigger volatility spikes that move this market sharply in either direction before the June 29 deadline.