TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 12:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Dogecoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream DOGE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Dogecoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream DOGE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Prediction market odds on this market reflect what traders collectively believe will happen to Dogecoin's price during the specified four-hour window, which often differs from spot price momentum alone. While spot price charts show historical movement and current levels, prediction markets incorporate forward-looking sentiment, news flow, and trader conviction about future direction. If major crypto news or market events emerge before the window opens, odds can shift sharply as traders reposition. Comparing this market's odds to analyst forecasts or social media sentiment can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in optimism or caution that may not yet be reflected in the current spot price.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds for this market through an automated market maker mechanism, where buying shares for one outcome automatically adjusts the price of the opposing outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the balance of buy and sell pressure between those betting Dogecoin will move up versus those betting it will move down. As more capital flows into one side, that outcome's price rises and the other falls, creating a continuous price discovery process. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how easily you can enter or exit a position at a given price level.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, once the four-hour trading window closes and Dogecoin's price movement can be verified. The outcome is determined by comparing Dogecoin's price at the start of the window (8:00 PM ET on June 27) to its price at the end (12:00 AM ET), with the result confirmed against credible public price data from major exchanges. Whichever direction the price moved—up or down—determines which outcome holders receive their payout. Resolution is typically finalized within hours of the window's close once price data is confirmed.
Major catalysts for this market include crypto market-wide movements, Bitcoin price action, regulatory announcements, and Dogecoin-specific news or social media momentum. Macroeconomic data releases, Federal Reserve commentary, or shifts in risk appetite can drive broad crypto volatility that affects DOGE. Elon Musk statements or Tesla-related developments historically move Dogecoin sentiment sharply. Technical levels and support/resistance zones may also influence trader positioning ahead of the window. Any significant exchange outages, security incidents, or shifts in meme-coin sentiment could trigger rapid repricing of the odds as traders adjust their conviction about the four-hour outcome.