TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reveal what traders collectively expect to happen, which often diverges from current spot price alone. While spot price reflects the most recent transaction, this market aggregates forward-looking conviction across many participants. If odds heavily favor one direction, it suggests traders expect momentum or catalysts to push Dogecoin that way. Conversely, near-even odds signal genuine uncertainty. Comparing these odds to your own view of upcoming news, technical levels, or sentiment can help you identify whether the market is pricing in information you agree or disagree with, making it a useful benchmark for your own price expectations.
On Polymarket, traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, and the price of those shares directly reflects the implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more capital flows into the "Up" or "Down" side, the price of that outcome's shares rises, while the opposing side falls. This continuous two-way market means odds update in real time based on fresh trades and new information. The spread between bid and ask prices reflects liquidity and trader conviction; tighter spreads indicate higher confidence and easier entry or exit, while wider spreads suggest less consensus or lower volume at that moment.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, once the event window closes and the outcome is verifiable from credible public sources. The result will be determined by Dogecoin's price movement relative to its level at the event start time. Traders who backed the correct direction receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the deadline as the price data is confirmed and the platform processes payouts automatically.
Major catalysts for this market include macroeconomic announcements, Bitcoin or broader crypto market swings, social media momentum around Dogecoin, regulatory news, and statements from influential figures. Technical levels and support or resistance zones can also trigger algorithmic or manual trading that shifts odds. Unexpected exchange listings, partnership announcements, or shifts in retail sentiment can rapidly reprrice the outcome. Additionally, changes in overall market risk appetite—such as equity or bond market moves—often correlate with crypto directional bets, so monitoring traditional markets alongside crypto-specific news will help you anticipate potential moves in this market.