TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 11:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader beliefs about Dogecoin's price direction, often diverging from simple technical analysis or spot-price momentum. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, this market prices in longer-term conviction and tail-risk scenarios. Comparing the implied probability here to analyst forecasts or on-chain sentiment can reveal whether traders expect a move that contradicts current market consensus, making it a useful cross-check for directional bias.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling binary outcome shares, with the price of each share reflecting the market's consensus probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more capital flows into the up or down outcome, the price adjusts to balance supply and demand. This continuous pricing mechanism ensures that the odds you see represent real money at stake, making the market a live barometer of trader expectations for Dogecoin's direction through the resolution window.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once Dogecoin's price movement is verifiable from credible public sources. The winning outcome is determined by whether DOGE closes above or below its opening price at the specified time, measured against established price feeds. Once the event occurs and data is finalized, the market settles and traders receive payouts based on their positions.
Major catalysts include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency markets, shifts in Elon Musk's public statements or Tesla-related news, Bitcoin or Ethereum price swings that influence altcoin sentiment, and macroeconomic data affecting risk appetite. Social media trends and community-driven momentum can also sway DOGE sharply. Technical levels, exchange inflows or outflows, and broader crypto market volatility in the days leading up to the deadline will likely drive trader positioning and move odds significantly.