TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 2:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reveal what traders collectively believe will happen, whereas spot price expectations reflect current market valuation and technical analysis. This market aggregates real money commitments from participants betting on Dogecoin's direction, creating odds that often diverge from analyst forecasts or traditional charting signals. When prediction odds shift significantly, it can signal that informed traders see catalysts or momentum the broader market hasn't yet priced in, making these odds a useful cross-check against conventional price expectations.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares representing each outcome—Dogecoin Up or Down. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the balance of capital flowing into each side, with the current implied probability visible in real time. As traders adjust their positions based on new information or sentiment shifts, the odds update continuously, creating a dynamic price discovery mechanism that incorporates the latest views on Dogecoin's direction through June 26, 1AM ET.
This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once Dogecoin's price movement is verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution hinges on whether DOGE closes above or below its opening level at the specified time, determined by established market data. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout once the event is finalized and the platform processes settlement.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrencies, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin price movements (which often drive altcoin sentiment), and Dogecoin-specific news such as exchange listings or developer updates. Social media momentum and whale trading activity can also trigger sharp swings in odds. Technical levels, broader crypto market volatility, and shifts in retail trader interest are additional factors that could influence how participants price this outcome before the June 26 deadline.